Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.000106 0.000118 0.000132 0.000147 0.000164 0.000183 0.000204
2024-10-13 0.000087 0.000104 0.000123 0.000146 0.000173 0.000205 0.000244
2024-10-20 0.000075 0.000094 0.000117 0.000147 0.000184 0.000229 0.000287
2024-10-27 0.000065 0.000086 0.000112 0.000148 0.000194 0.000253 0.000334
2024-11-03 0.000057 0.000078 0.000106 0.000146 0.000200 0.000272 0.000374
2024-11-10 0.000051 0.000074 0.000104 0.000149 0.000212 0.000299 0.000428
2024-11-17 0.000046 0.000068 0.000100 0.000147 0.000218 0.000318 0.000472
2024-11-24 0.000042 0.000064 0.000097 0.000148 0.000226 0.000341 0.000523
2024-12-01 0.000038 0.000060 0.000093 0.000146 0.000230 0.000358 0.000566
2024-12-08 0.000034 0.000056 0.000089 0.000145 0.000235 0.000376 0.000613
2024-12-15 0.000031 0.000053 0.000087 0.000145 0.000241 0.000396 0.000664
2024-12-22 0.000029 0.000050 0.000085 0.000145 0.000248 0.000418 0.000719
2024-12-29 0.000027 0.000048 0.000083 0.000145 0.000256 0.000442 0.000782
2025-01-05 0.000025 0.000045 0.000080 0.000144 0.000260 0.000461 0.000837
2025-01-12 0.000023 0.000043 0.000078 0.000145 0.000268 0.000487 0.000908
2025-01-19 0.000021 0.000041 0.000077 0.000146 0.000277 0.000515 0.000984
2025-01-26 0.000020 0.000039 0.000074 0.000144 0.000280 0.000533 0.001042
2025-02-02 0.000019 0.000038 0.000074 0.000147 0.000292 0.000568 0.001137
2025-02-09 0.000017 0.000036 0.000071 0.000145 0.000296 0.000589 0.001205
2025-02-16 0.000016 0.000034 0.000070 0.000146 0.000303 0.000616 0.001290
2025-02-23 0.000015 0.000033 0.000068 0.000144 0.000306 0.000635 0.001357
2025-03-02 0.000014 0.000031 0.000066 0.000143 0.000310 0.000656 0.001431
2025-03-09 0.000013 0.000030 0.000064 0.000143 0.000316 0.000681 0.001515